Liverpool host Southampton in the third round of the EFL Cup, with Anfield set for another exciting night. The Premier League's top teams will be keen to demonstrate their dominance in front of their fans, while the Championship side will be looking to prove they can compete against top-flight opposition. The clash, scheduled for Wednesday, 24 September 2025, represents more than just a knockout match; it is a clash of contrasting ambitions, forms and tactical philosophies.
In this comprehensive betting preview, we provide detailed insights into team form, head-to-head records, player performances and statistical trends. With expert predictions, correct score probabilities, player prop recommendations and price picks across a range of markets, we break down everything you need to know before you bet on Liverpool vs Southampton.
Liverpool's consistent form
Liverpool have had a perfect start to the 2025/26 season. They started the Premier League campaign with five consecutive wins, as well as a thrilling Champions League victory over Atletico Madrid. Their consistency at both ends of the pitch is why bookmakers consider them the overwhelming favourites for this match.
At home, Liverpool's fortress remains almost impregnable. With eight wins and two draws in their last ten games at Anfield, Jurgen Klopp's side have combined attacking fluidity with defensive solidity. An average positional score of over 60% reflects their control over the game, while their average of 2.2 goals per game shows how clinical they have been in front of goal.
The key driver of success
- Mohamed Salah His success has continued, having already scored four goals this season, proving why he remains Liverpool's talisman.
- Hugo Ekiti Having emerged as a decisive figure, he has scored three goals in his last five matches.
- Cody Gakpo and Dominik Szoboszlai He has contributed a lot through assists, leaving the future of Liverpool's front line uncertain.
- Alison Baker , having kept two clean sheets in his last ten matches, provides security to keep the team balanced.
Liverpool's strength is their ability to rotate without compromising performance. Despite the expected changes in this cup tie, the quality of their team suggests that Southampton will face a tough fight.
Southampton's challenge
Southampton have had a mixed season in the Championship. Although they won 3–0 against Norwich in the previous round of the EFL Cup, their league form has been inconsistent. Their latest defeat, a 3–1 defeat to Hull City, exposed defensive weaknesses despite having 711 possessions.
Strengths and weaknesses
- Occupancy-based type: Southampton have averaged over 601.3 possessions this season, which is proof of their desire to dominate the game.
- Lack of conversion: Despite controlling possession, their average of 1.2 goals per game highlighted their inefficiency in attack.
- Main contributors: Adam Armstrong and Ryan Manning are among the more reliable performers, while Ryan Fraser's creativity has produced valuable assists.
- Defensive problems: The 1.5 goals conceded per match highlights the fragility of their backline, which is well-equipped to exploit Liverpool's frontline.
Against Liverpool, Southampton's possession game can be a double-edged sword. While it allows them to control the pace against weaker opponents, Anfield is unlikely to grant such freedom, and errant passes can quickly lead to punishment.
EFL Cup head-to-head record
Liverpool's dominance over Southampton has been strong in recent years.
- Last 10 meetings: 8 Liverpool wins, 1 Southampton win, 1 draw.
- Most recent clashes: Liverpool won the Premier League 3-1 at Anfield.
- Present tense: Liverpool have won three consecutive games against the Saints.
For Southampton, history suggests they have a huge task ahead of them. For Liverpool, familiarity with consistently outscoring their visitors only reinforces their confidence.
Statistical breakdown
Liverpool – Last 10 matches (League and Cup)
- Wins: 6
- Draw: 2
- Damage: 2
- Goals per game: 2.2
- Goals conceded per game: 1.5
- Average possession: 60.7%
- Corners per game: 5.9
Southampton – Last 6 matches (League & Cup)
- Win: 1
- Draw: 3
- Damage: 2
- Goals per game: 1.2
- Goals conceded per game: 1.5
- Average possession: 61.2%
- Corners per game: 6.2
Strategic analysis
Liverpool will likely push the ball hard from the opening whistle, looking to disrupt Southampton's passing rhythm and force turnovers in dangerous areas. Their full-backs, particularly Trent Alexander-Arnold, will provide the width and overlapping runs to stretch the Saints backline.
Southampton's best chance is on the counter-attack. If Adam Armstrong can find space behind Liverpool's high defensive line, chances could be created. However, the home team's constant pressure will make it difficult to convert. Liverpool are expected to push Southampton deeper, control territory and control the pace throughout the 90 minutes.
Possible lineup
Liverpool (4-3-3):
Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Van Dijk, Konate, Robertson; Szoboszlai, Gravenberch, Mac Allister; Salah, Gakpo, Ekiti.
Southampton (4-2-3-1):
Bajunu; Walker-Peters, Harwood-Baillies, Stephens, Manning; Smallbone, Downes; Fraser, Sulemana, Edoji; Armstrong.
Klopp may make changes to certain positions, but Liverpool's depth in the squad ensures that the quality of the field will be maintained. In contrast, Southampton will play their strongest XI in the hope of competing.
Betting Market Insights
Asian Handicap Prediction
Liverpool price -2.25 @ 1.86 The Reds need to win by three goals or more to get paid in full on this line, although a two-goal win will return half the stake. Considering their home record and attacking firepower, this market represents strong value.
Correct Score Prediction
The scoreline for the 4-0 win at 8.50 minutes Liverpool's defensive structure and Southampton's lack of cutting-edge skills ensured the hosts kept a clean sheet. Meanwhile, their attack was capable of scoring multiple goals at will.
Gol Market
- Over 2.5 goals at 1.50 Reflects expectations for a high-scoring match.
- Both teams to score – No at 1.74 , as Southampton struggle to convert possession into goals.
Player props
- Hugo Ekiti Anytime Goalscorer @ 2.05: Ekitik's recent form makes it one of the best value picks.
- Federico Chiesa Target @ 2.20 with shots under 0.5: The Italian has been quiet in recent games, and bookmakers are offering tempting odds for his poor performance.
Corner Market
Liverpool's recent matches at Anfield seem to show that they often 7.5 Corner line Southampton's matches are also on a downward trend, Liverpool Under 7.5 Team Corners @ 1.67 Seems like a strong game.
JitaBet , JitaWin , and JitaGo- Place your bets on, they offer really good odds, play and win big!
Conclusion
The EFL Cup often produces poor results, but this match looks unlikely to be any different. Liverpool's balance of experience and emerging talent ensures they can compete on multiple fronts. Southampton's resilience and possession-based play may provide a glimmer of hope, but Anfield's intensity and Liverpool's clinical edge will decide this contest.
For betting, the handicap, number of goals and player props markets offer strong opportunities. With Liverpool expected to dominate from start to finish, there is plenty of confidence in a comfortable home win.
For more detailed updates and news, visit our news website. jitawins News








